Election Special: Impact of the US election on oil prices and the US dollar

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Content

  • Market view oil: Still range-trading for another week in Brent
    • Impact on oil prices from the US election might be overstated
    • The US dollar and Interest rates to see support from a Trump win
    • Oil price Outlook: We see Brent moving towards USD 80 In 2025
  • Market Drivers next week: OPEC might confirm December 1 production Increase
  • Hedging views (consumer side):
    • Oil/oil products: Add to consumer hedges when Brent trade in the USD 70-74 range
    • EUA: Buy EUAs when DEC-24 below EUR 64 MT and
    • Gas: Buy when TTF front-month below EUR 36 MWH

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Arne Lohmann Rasmussen
Chief Analyst, Head of Research at Global Risk Management

Phone +45 2146 2951
Arra@global-riskmanagement.com

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